The Plant Genome

The performance of a single cross is determined by the average additive effects of the parents, as well as the interactions between them. These quantities can be estimated using an appropriate genetic design, allowing for the estimation of general (GCA) and specific (SCA) combining abilities. The prediction of GCA for new parents and the total genetic value of unrealized crosses can be made when genome-wide marker information is available. Several studies in crops such as maize and rice have demonstrated the potential of genomic-assisted prediction of single-cross performance in economically important crops. However, no study to date has explored its relevance in perennial ryegrass, an obligate allogamous species that is bred in genetically heterogeneous families. In this study, we aimed to estimate genetic parameters and assess the ability of genomic models to predict the performance of F2 families in terms of dry matter yield and nutritive quality traits. We used data from a large partial diallel involving 104 parents from two distinct subpopulations, as inferred by admixture analysis. F2 families were evaluated in multiple environments and under two nitrogen availability conditions. Genotyping-by-sequencing of the parent plants produced 42,145 variants after quality control, which were used to estimate genomic relationships based on identity-by-state. Variance component estimation revealed limited GCA and SCA interactions with the environment, and particularly with nitrogen management. The predictive abilities of two parental models exceeded 0.60 and often surpassed 0.70 for most traits. However, incorporating non-additive effects into the model did not improve predictive ability. We leveraged the genetic diversity among parents to map genomic regions associated with all recorded traits. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) by genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) identified six quantitative trait loci (QTL) regions, with 45 candidate genes within the linkage disequilibrium range, estimated at approximately 92 kb. Our results demonstrate that genomic prediction of single crosses can be performed with high accuracy, especially when both parents are also progenitors of families in the training set.

BackgroundPangenomes are a promising new approach to genomics that can reduce reference bias in genotyping, but the reliability of such a data model remains unclear in tracking variation across species. To test the utility of graph-based pangenomes for interspecific breeding, we developed a Minigraph-Cactus super-pangenome representing four Citrus species derived from the founder lines of a citrus breeding program. To benchmark SNP calling accuracy using graph and linear-based approaches, we performed whole genome short read sequencing for two sets of pedigreed progeny: 30 F1 hybrids and 244 advanced hybrids from an F1 crossed with a parent not included in the pangenome. ResultsThe linear approach yielded more SNP calls than the graph-based approach, however, both methods exhibited similar Mendelian Inheritance Error Rates (MIER) in a tool-dependent manner. Reconstruction of parental haplotype blocks in the advanced hybrids revealed a striking improvement in performance in the pangenome graph-based calls, suggesting MIER is vulnerable to error when reference bias influences both parental and progeny genotype calls. Masking of regions diverged from the reference path improved MIER accuracy metrics and haplotype block reconstruction in both the linear and graph-based SNP calls. ConclusionsIn non-model systems, inheritance patterns observed from pedigreed hybrids provide a framework for benchmarking variant-calling accuracy using pangenomes. SNP miscalls originating from diverged regions can falsely satisfy MIER filters, thus we recommend haplotype blocks. The inherent structure of the pangenome graph has promising applications for removing regions of unreliable mapping quality, which cannot otherwise be reliably removed using traditional filtering metrics.

Genomic selection (GS) can accelerate genetic gain in crops, but its effectiveness depends on training population design and marker density. Nested association mapping (NAM) populations provide a structured framework that captures broad allelic diversity within a controlled genetic background. Here, we evaluated genomic prediction (GP) and genome-wide association study (GWAS) performance in an expanded aus-NAM population of rice comprising 1,818 recombinant inbred lines across 14 families and 11 agronomic traits, using genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS) markers and projected whole-genome sequence variants. Prediction accuracy plateaued at moderate marker densities ([~]20k SNPs) and with training populations of [~]500 lines ([~]40-60% of the available pool), with trait heritability emerging as the strongest determinant of predictive performance rather than model choice or marker density. In contrast, GWAS resolution continued to improve with increasing marker density, enabling detection of additional loci, including a chromosome 12 locus associated with heading date, while consistently recovering well-characterized genes such as EARLY HEADING DATE 1 (Ehd1) and SEMIDWARF 1 (SD1). These contrasting patterns indicate that GP reaches near-optimal performance once genome-wide variation is adequately represented, whereas GWAS benefits from higher marker density through improved locus resolution. The present study establishes a benchmark for implementing breeding programs involving japonica/indica crosses using GP in a single environment.

The early 20th-century discovery of heterosis and the establishment of heterotic groups transformed maize (Zea mays L.) into a keystone of global agriculture. However, maize breeding faces two significant challenges: the gradual decline of general combining ability (GCA) variance within heterotic groups and the impracticality of testing all possible single crosses in the early stages of a breeding program. Here, we developed genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP)-based multi-kernel models, using additive and two alternative non-additive genomic relationship matrices, to estimate the variance components associated with the GCA of Stiff Stalk (SS) and Non-Stiff Stalk (NSS) heterotic groups and the specific combining ability (SCA) arising from their crosses. We further applied these models to predict the performance of untested single-cross combinations under varying levels of parental information. We showed that the SS and NSS groups retained significant GCA variance across traits in both early- and late-maturity groups. The SS group, in contrast, exhibited no detectable GCA variance in grain yield for the intermediate-flowering subset of hybrids, highlighting a limitation for future genetic improvement. Furthermore, our results showed that GBLUP-based multi-kernel models effectively identified superior hybrids when parental information was available. In the absence of this information, however, these models underperformed compared to covariance-based approaches. Both types of non-additive matrices produced similar results, affirming the robustness of the inferred genetic architecture. Overall, this study sheds light on the future use of US maize commercial germplasm and demonstrates how GBLUP-based multi-kernel models can improve the efficiency of hybrid breeding programs.

Cultivated Northern Wild Rice (Zizania palustris L.) is an obligately outcrossing, self-incompatible cereal grown in aquatic paddies in the United States. Genetic improvement has relied primarily on phenotypic recurrent selection, and genomic approaches remain largely unexplored in this emerging crop. We applied a single-plant genome-wide association study (sp-GWAS) framework to dissect vegetative architecture traits in five open-pollinated cultivated populations evaluated across three years (n = 2,173 plants). Plant height (PH), basal stem width (BSW), primary stem width (PSW), flag leaf length (FLL), and flag leaf width (FLW) were analyzed using a mixed linear model accounting for population structure and kinship. Broad-sense heritability ranged from 0.03 to 0.34, and year effects explained up to 54% of phenotypic variance, indicating strong environmental influence. After filtering 73,363 SNPs, genome-wide linkage disequilibrium decayed rapidly (r{superscript 2} = 0.1 at [~]2.3 kb). A total of 124 significant SNPs (FDR < 0.01) were consolidated into 98 loci, of which 46 were associated with multiple traits and 11 were shared across four traits. Candidate genes near multi-trait loci included conserved regulatory classes implicated in grass architecture, including HLH/bHLH transcription factors. Diplotype analyses at candidate loci revealed both simple biallelic and complex multi-allelic haplotype structures, indicating that locus-level haplotype effects underlie several GWAS signals. Results demonstrate that sp-GWAS can detect statistically robust associations in a highly heterozygous, non-replicable crop system and suggest a polygenic, coordinated genetic architecture governing vegetative growth. These findings support genomic prediction and multi-trait selection strategies to accelerate improvement of cultivated Northern Wild Rice. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARYCultivated Northern Wild Rice is an important specialty crop grown in flooded paddies in the United States. Unlike many major crops, it is naturally outcrossing and highly variable, which makes traditional breeding challenging and slow. Most improvement efforts have relied on selecting plants based only on how they look in the field, and genomic tools have rarely been used. In this study, we used DNA markers to better understand the genetics behind plant structure traits such as plant height, stem thickness, and leaf width. We evaluated more than 2,000 plants from five cultivated populations over three growing seasons. Because weather and growing conditions strongly influence these traits, we used statistical models to separate environmental effects from genetic effects. We identified 98 regions of the genome associated with variation in plant structure. Many of these regions influenced more than one trait, showing that plant height, stem strength, and leaf size are genetically connected. Several regions contained genes similar to those known to control plant growth and development in other grasses. We also found that, in some cases, combinations of nearby DNA variants (haplotypes) explained trait differences better than single genetic markers. Overall, this work shows that modern genomic tools can successfully identify useful genetic variation in cultivated Northern Wild Rice, even though it is highly outcrossing and genetically diverse. These results provide a foundation for using genomic selection to improve plant structure, lodging resistance, and overall performance in breeding programs. CORE IDEASO_LISingle-plant GWAS successfully detects genetic associations in obligately outcrossing cultivated Northern Wild Rice where conventional replicated mapping populations are impractical. C_LIO_LIVegetative architecture traits exhibit low heritability but retain recoverable polygenic signal, where nearly half of detected loci influence multiple architecture traits, indicating integrated developmental control. C_LIO_LIGenome-wide linkage disequilibrium decays rapidly ([~]2.3 kb), consistent with expectations for an obligately outcrossing species and supporting relatively localized association signals. C_LIO_LICandidate genes include conserved regulatory classes (TE1-like, HLH/bHLH, SPL). C_LIO_LIGiven extensive overlap between QTL and environmental effect, multi-trait, multi-environment genomic prediction provides a pragmatic breeding strategy to improve canopy efficiency, lodging resistance, and harvestability in aquatic production systems. C_LI

Securing sustainable crop production requires the genetic improvement of abiotic stress tolerance. Due to the broad range of environmental factors causing abiotic stress and complex genotype-by-environment interactions, it is crucial to understand the genetic basis of crop yield under suboptimal conditions. Here, we developed a dent maize Multi-parent Advanced Generation Inter-Cross (MAGIC) population comprising 388 doubled haploid (DH) lines. The population was derived from eight founders with varying stress tolerance, selected from a dent diversity panel evaluated for yield performance across a wide range of European environments. The MAGIC DH lines were genotyped via whole-genome sequencing ([~]5X coverage) and evaluated in seven testcross and 14 line per se trials, for grain dry matter yield, leaf senescence, leaf rolling, anthesis-silking interval, and six additional agronomic traits. Genetic dissection identified 22 grain yield QTL, explaining 45% of the genetic variance. Under heat and drought stress, testcross grain yield correlated significantly with leaf senescence and leaf rolling measured in line per se trials. Bivariate multi-trait analysis showed that alleles for delayed senescence and reduced rolling at detected QTL generally exhibited positive effects on grain yield, suggesting that accumulating these favorable alleles could enhance yield performance. Incorporating these proxies into multi-trait genomic prediction models improved yield prediction accuracy, although gains were constrained by modest trait correlations. Given the comprehensive data, we also provide recommendations for optimizing sequencing depth and QTL mapping strategies in experimental maize populations. Key messageThis eight-founder MAGIC population represents a powerful resource for dissecting complex traits in maize, assessing the utility of drought proxy traits, and optimizing low-coverage whole-genome sequencing approaches.

Genomic prediction models that account genotype-by-environment (GxE) have the potential to accelerate the rate of genetic gain for yield and agronomic performance, yet relatively few studies have applied GxE prediction in public soft red winter wheat (Triticum aestivum) breeding programs. In this study, we extended a reaction norm-based genomic prediction framework by integrating weather-based environmental covariates to more effectively capture genotype- environment interactions. Key agronomic traits, including seed yield, plant height, test weight, and heading date, were evaluated across 33 environments (location-year) using over 3,200 breeding lines from the North Carolina State University small grains breeding program. Multiple genomic prediction models were compared using several cross-validation (CV) schemes representing common breeding scenarios. Across traits, the reaction norm M5 model, which incorporates both GxE and genotype-by-environmental covariate interactions (GxO), achieved the highest prediction accuracy (PA) in CV2 (predicting incomplete field trials) and CV1 for yield and test weight (predicting new lines). The highest PA was observed for test weight under CV2 (0.54) and for yield under CV1 (0.41). Under CV0 (predicting new environments), the M3 model incorporating GxE produced highest PA across traits, with the greatest accuracy for plant height (0.45), although differences among M2, M3, and M4 were small. Prediction under CV00 (predicting new lines in new environments) remained more challenging, with PA values 0.10 - 0.20 across traits. Overall, our results demonstrate that integrating environmental covariates into genomic prediction models can improve predictive performance across diverse wheat-growing environments in North Carolina, supporting their utility for applied breeding efforts. CORE IDEASO_LIIntegrating genotype-by-environment (GxE) interactions with environmental covariates improves prediction accuracy across environments. C_LIO_LIModel performance varies by prediction scenario, with different approaches performing best for new lines, incomplete trials, or new environments. C_LIO_LIPrediction of new lines in new environments remains challenging. C_LI PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARYThis study explores how adding environmental information to genomic prediction models can improve prediction accuracy in a public winter wheat breeding program. Using data from multi-environment trials conducted across diverse conditions in North Carolina, we evaluated statistical models that capture how different wheat lines respond to changing environments. By incorporating weather data, we improved the ability to predict performance across locations and years. These findings provide practical insights for refining selection strategies and accelerating genetic gain in wheat breeding.

In quantitative genetics, candidate SNPs are identified through genotype-phenotype associations inferred with genome-wide association studies (GWAS). In this study, we explore an alternative approach to detect genetic variants with non-neutral effects by tracking temporal trends in allele frequency in a winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) breeding population over an eight-year period, from which signals of selection may be inferred. Selection signatures were inferred with a generalized linear model, where we modeled trends in allele frequency as a function of time (crossing year). These signatures of selection were used to prioritize variants. Associations between phenotypic performance and individual load of prioritized variants were then investigated. Furthermore, we assessed whether incorporating selection information into a genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) model improves model performance in terms of quality of fit and prediction ability. Our findings indicate that the inferred signals of selection are effective in identifying non-neutral variants. Variants under strong negative selection were associated with a decrease in protein content adjusted for grain yield (p-value < 0.01), while genetic variants that had been under moderate to high levels of positive selection were associated with increased grain yield (p-value < 0.01). However, incorporating selection information did not improve prediction accuracy. In conclusion, temporal trends in allele frequency can be used to detect non-neutral variants. The proposed approach may hence complement traditional quantitative genetic methods for detecting non-neutral genetic variation. This approach may allow breeders to detect non-neutral variants earlier in the breeding cycle, without resorting to phenotypic data.

In sunflower (Helianthus annuus L.), the composition of fatty acids in the seeds, primarily oleic, linoleic, stearic and palmitic acid, is of utmost importance for oil quality. Despite this, the genetic basis of this trait and its interaction with the environment is poorly understood. Understanding this interaction is critical to improvement of sunflower within the context of climate change. In this work, we incorporated fatty acid composition measurements from the sunflower SAM population and eight environments across an extensive geographic cline into GWAS. The SAM panel consists of 287 varieties representing approximately 90% of sunflower diversity, for which 2.2 million high-quality SNPs with a MAF > 5% are available. For increased power, multivariate GWAS was performed with four different inputs: (i) mean fatty acid composition within each environment, (ii) mean fatty acid composition within each environment omitting high oleic varieties, (iii) trait stability within environments quantified by standard errors among replicate samples ( stability) and (iv) Eberhart and Russells {beta} which quantifies trait stabilities across environments ({beta} stability). All four analyses yielded highly significantly associated SNPs. We found that high oleic varieties exhibited high {beta} trait stability, resulting in substantial overlap in markers between analyses (i) and (iv), with signals being fairly consistent between environments in analysis (i). For analyses (ii) and (iii), significant markers tended to vary between trials. For significant SNPs across all analyses, 147 candidate genes were identified, including promising candidates such as 15 fatty acid metabolism genes, 6 heat shock proteins and 22 transcription factors. Lastly, a large introgression consisting of two flanking inverted sequences on Chromosome 5 was found to coincide with stability in the Georgia trial, suggesting a role in FA composition stability under high heat conditions.

Genomic selection holds the potential to serve as a strategic tool to enhance the genetic gain of complex traits in Miscanthus breeding programs. The development of improved cultivars requires their assessment for various traits across diverse environments to ensure suitable overall performance. Hence, the multi-trait multi-environment (MTME) genomic prediction (GP) models offer an opportunity to improve selection accuracy. This study aims to evaluate the potential of five GP models: (1) three MTME models including genotype-by-trait-by-environment interaction (GxExT) and (2) two single-trait multi-environment (STME) models (with and without GxE interaction). A Miscanthus sacchariflorus population comprising 336 genotypes evaluated in three environments and scored for four traits (biomass yield YDY, total culm number TCM, average internode length AIL, and culm node number CNN) was analyzed. The predictive ability of the models was evaluated considering three cross-validation schemes resembling realistic scenarios (CV1: predicting new genotypes, CVP: predicting missing traits in a given environment, and CV2: predicting partially observed genotypes). On average, in all cross-validation schemes compared to the STME the predictive ability of the MTME models was 10% to 70% higher for TCM and AIL. On the other hand, for YDY and CNN, both STME models performed similarly or slightly better (between 5 to 64%) than the MTME models in most environments. While the MTME models were not successful for all traits when compared to their STME counterparts, MTME models improved the prediction of the performance of genotypes that were untested across environments or lacked trait information in a specific environment. Overall, our study suggests that MTME GP models can be implemented in Miscanthus breeding programs to improve the predictive ability of the complex traits, shorten breeding cycles, and accelerate selection decisions.

PurposeGenotype-by-environment (G x E) interactions represent a major obstacle to increasing genetic gain in crop breeding, with the underlying physiological drivers often remaining obscured within conventional statistical models. This case study presents a novel framework that transforms the latent factors from Factor Analytic (FA) multi-environment trial (MET) models into heritable quantitative traits, enabling the genetic dissection of adaptive response patterns. MethodsA Factor Analytical Linear Mixed Model (FA-LMM) was fit to plot-level yield data for 1,036 barley genotypes across eight Australian trials. ResultsCorrelation of the factor loadings with APSIM-simulated environmental covariates demonstrated that the second latent factor FA2 was strongly correlated with the Water Stress Index (r = -0.83) during the critical flowering period, establishing water availability as the main biological axis of crossover Gx E. Genotypic scores for the derived traits, Overall Performance (OP) and Water Stress Response (WSR), were subjected to high-resolution haplotype-based mapping using local Genomic Estimated Breeding Values (GEBV). ConclusionThis analysis successfully identified major genomic regions that accounted for a substantial proportion of the additive genetic variance. Gene Ontology enrichment of candidate genes within the top haploblocks implicated fundamental pathways related to energy homeostasis, root development, and stress response, with notable candidates including FTsH11, BPS1, and TDP1. The distribution of favourable Haplotypes of Interest (HOI) in elite cultivars suggested a historical signature of inadvertent selection for these adaptive mechanisms. This framework provides an explicit bridge between statistical modelling and functional genomics, offering breeders actionable genetic targets for accelerated development of climate-resilient cereals.

The number of pollen grains, which carry male gametes in seed plants, has attracted interest in genetics, evolution, and breeding. Rapid evolutionary reductions in pollen number and anther length were reported in selfing species as well as domesticated species, although this poses a challenge for hybrid breeding. Here, we studied the variation of pollen number and anther length of the hexaploid bread wheat (Triticum aestivum) by employing a quick pollen counting method. Pollen numbers in cultivars were lower than those in landraces among 54 lines of diverse geographic origins. Using the year of registration of traditional and modern cultivars, we found a reduction in pollen number over the past 150 years. We detected high heritability and variation among Asian landraces and cultivars. Thus, we conducted QTL mapping of pollen number as well as of anther length using nested association mapping lines in which Norin 61 was the common parent. Genomic loci encompassing Green Revolution genes (Rht-B1, Rht-D1, and Ppd-D1) showed significant effects on pollen number and anther length, but their contributions were relatively minor. Although anther length has often been used as a proxy for pollen number in bread wheat, our data showed that their correlations are not necessarily high. Interestingly, we identified a new QTL of pollen number that was not detected by measuring anther length, and, vice versa, a new QTL specific to anther length. These data suggest that pollen number has reduced rapidly in bread wheat but can be modified using the genetic diversity of landraces. Significance statementWe found that modern cultivars of bread wheat have reduced pollen number and shorter anther length, which are common in domesticated species but can be a challenge for hybrid breeding. Using underutilized Asian landraces and cultivars, we reported that new quantitative trait loci as well as loci used in the Green Revolution, are responsible for the traits, which can be employed to increase pollen numbers.

Pennycress (Thlaspi arvense L.) is an intermediate winter oilseed crop that has only recently been domesticated for agronomic use. Improving agronomic traits requires sources of genetic variation, and mutagenesis is frequently used to help overcome the limitations of natural populations. We investigate the impact of Ethyl methanesulfonate (EMS) on genetically effective cells (GECs) to characterize the intra-individual genetic variation of EMS mutagenesis in pennycress. We identified that pennycress contains at least 4 GECs which, when treated with EMS, create unique mutations across different branches within the same individual plant. We then propagated the M2 plants for whole genome sequencing, providing extensive characterization of the EMS mutation profile and developing a gene index as a resource for future reverse genetic screenings. Article SummaryPennycress is an emerging winter oil seed crop in the American Midwest. Domestication efforts have advanced rapidly through a combination of genetic techniques. One of the most successful methods has been the use of a mutant gene index, a large collection of pennycress seed where new genetic variation has been created through Ethyl methanesulfonate (EMS). EMS mutations are not uniform however, and a single treated seed can have wide genetic variation within the resulting plant. We investigate the role of genetically effective cells on EMS variation, and present the full EMS population as a resource for further pennycress domestication efforts.

Improving rice (Oryza sativa L.) yield requires a balanced enhancement of both sink size and source capacity. While many QTLs for sink size have been identified, only a few are known for source capacity, which is essential for achieving high yield. Here we identified qHP10 as a major QTL for increased photosynthetic rate by using chromosome segment substitution lines derived from a cross between the high-yielding indica cultivar Takanari and the average-yielding japonica cultivar Koshihikari. High-resolution mapping combined with CRISPR/Cas9-induced mutagenesis revealed that the causative gene underlying qHP10 is Mitogen-Activated Protein Kinase 4 (OsMPK4). A near-isogenic line carrying the OsMPK4Takanari allele (NIL-OsMPK4) had a 15-25% higher photosynthetic rate than Koshihikari. NIL-OsMPK4 also had higher stomatal conductance than Koshihikari but similar stomatal pore size and density, indicating that increased stomatal aperture increases photosynthetic rate. This enhancement is likely attributable to the down-regulation of OsMPK4 expression, which increases stomatal conductance and thus promotes CO2 uptake. Our findings demonstrate that OsMPK4 is a promising genetic target for increasing source capacity and, potentially, rice yield through molecular breeding. (175 words)

Heterosis, the superiority of hybrids over their parents, is a major genetic force associated with plant fitness and crop yield enhancement. We previously discovered and characterized root-mediated yield heterosis (RMYH) in melon (Cucumis melo) using a half-diallel population, derived from 20 diverse parents. In the current study we investigated the genetic architecture of RMYH using a segregating population derived from a selected F1 hybrid (HDA019) that consistently induced RMYH under several melon scion varieties and growing conditions. 78 recombinant inbred lines (RILs) and their test-crosses to both parents were analyzed in yield trials as rootstocks under a common commercial scion variety. The population displayed normal root-mediated yield distribution and transgressive segregation relative to the parents but none of the RILs equaled the superior performance of the F1 hybrid. RMYH of HDA019 was dissected to small effect QTLs showing mostly additive or dominant mode-of-inheritance and favorable QTL-alleles were contributed by both parents. Five consistent QTLs were selected and used to demonstrate the potential of root-mediated yield QTL pyramiding, and 20 combinations of QTL pairs and triplets supported the cumulative model for heterosis. Favorable QTLs alleles were introgressed to generate advanced QTL-backcross lines that were used for validation. This study provides first detailed genetic dissection of yield-related rootstock traits in cucurbits, highlighting rootstock breeding as an important underutilized route for improving yield and stress tolerance of crops. Key messageRoot-mediated yield heterosis in melon was genetically dissected using grafting strategy, revealing additive QTLs from both parents of the mapping population. Rootstock breeding through pyramiding of favorable alleles is proposed as strategy for enhancing crop yield and stress tolerance.

Intercropping is a promising strategy to improve productivity and sustainability in agricultural systems, but designing effective genotype combinations remains a major challenge owing to the rapid increase in possible pairings as the number of candidate genotypes increases. This creates a practical bottleneck because field evaluation of all combinations is infeasible under realistic resource constraints. Here, we propose a framework that integrates genomic prediction and Bayesian optimization to support efficient decision-making for intercropping system design. Using genome-wide marker data from sorghum and soybean, we simulated intercropping performance across 5,214 genotype pairs under certain genetic architectures, including variation in heritability, correlations between direct and indirect genetic effects, and the contribution of pair-specific interactions. Genomic prediction models incorporating direct and indirect genetic effects substantially improved prediction accuracy compared with models based on direct genetic effects alone, and inclusion of specific mixing ability further enhanced the performance under high-heritability conditions. When coupled with Bayesian optimization, the models rapidly identified superior genotype pairs, requiring fewer evaluation cycles than random or prediction-only search strategies. Acquisition functions that account for predicted uncertainty were most effective in complex scenarios involving interaction effects or negative correlations between direct and indirect effects. These results demonstrate that combining genomic prediction with Bayesian optimization can substantially reduce the experimental burden associated with intercropping design, while improving the efficiency of identifying high-performing genotype pairs. The proposed framework provides a practical approach for prioritizing candidate mixtures in breeding and field evaluation, and contributes to the development of data-driven strategies for sustainable agricultural systems. HighlightsO_LIA data-driven framework was developed to optimize genotype pairs in intercropping. C_LIO_LIModeling indirect effects improved prediction accuracy across genotype pairs. C_LIO_LIPair-specific interactions enhanced prediction under high-heritability conditions. C_LIO_LIBayesian optimization identified superior pairs under limited evaluation capacity. C_LIO_LIThe framework reduces field-testing requirements for intercropping system design. C_LI

Phenotyping high-biomass perennial crops is laborious and the rate of genetic gain in perennial crop breeding programs is typically low. So, it is especially important to identify methods that produce efficiency gains in the breeding process. Miscanthus is a C4 perennial grass with favorable characteristics for producing biomass as a feedstock for biofuels and diverse biobased products. Increasing biomass yield will increase profitability and environmental benefits, so is a key target for Miscanthus breeding. In addition, the identification of well-adapted genotypes across a wide range of environmental conditions requires the establishment of multi-environment trials (METs). Sparse testing is a genomic prediction-based strategy that reduces the phenotyping costs in METs by selecting a subset of genotypes to evaluate in a subset of environments and then predicts the performance of the unobserved genotype-environment combinations. A Miscanthus sacchariflorus (MSA) population comprising 336 genotypes observed across three environments was analyzed. Three prediction models considering main effects (environments, genotypes, genomic) and interaction effects (genotype-by-environment; GxE interaction) were implemented for forecasting dry biomass yield (YDY), total culm (TCM), average internode length (AIL), and culm node number (CNN). Multiple calibration sets based on different compositions and sizes were considered to evaluate performance in terms of the predictive ability (PA) and the mean square error (MSE) for a fixed testing set size. The training set size ranged from 52 to 112 to predict a fixed set of 224 unobserved genotypes across all three environments. The results showed that the model accounting for GxE interaction presented the highest PA and the lowest MSE for CNN (PA: [~]0.77, MSE: [~]0.5) and YDY (PA: [~]0.70, MSE: [~]1.3) while for TCM and AIL these ranged from [~]0.28 to 0.41 and [~]1.3 to 4.3, respectively. Overall, varying training sets and allocation strategies did not affect PA and MSE, with 52 non-overlapping and 0 overlapping genotypes per environment as the optimal cost-effective allocation framework. This suggests that implementing sparse testing designs could significantly reduce phenotyping costs by fivefold, without compromising PA in breeding programs for perennial crops such as Miscanthus.

Accurate modeling of genotype-by-environment (GxE) interaction is critical for genomic prediction in plant breeding but remains challenging due to complex interaction structures. Conventional models often use the Hadamard product of genotype and environment covariance matrices to capture joint similarity, which may not fully represent GxE complexity. Here we propose a novel framework that derives covariance structures from the matrix multiplication of genotype and environment kernels, decomposing these into symmetric components incorporated as random effects in mixed models. Evaluated for 11 wheat and rice multi-environment datasets and across, this approach consistently outperformed the traditional Hadamard-based model, improving prediction accuracy by up to 13.2% in Pearsons correlation and enhancing top-selection accuracy. Combining both methods yielded the highest performance, indicating complementary information capture. This framework offers a flexible, interpretable, and computationally feasible extension for modeling GxE interaction, potentially enhancing genomic selection effectiveness under diverse environmental conditions.

Maximum utilization of existing genetic variability in a breeding program depends on the efficient classification of the inbred lines into heterotic groups, particularly under stress conditions. This study applied practical breeding approaches to determine the mode of genetic inheritance for Striga resistance and proposes a weighted heterotic grouping method based on the general combining ability of multiple traits (WHGCAMT) and compares its effectiveness with other existing methods in classifying the inbred lines into heterotic groups in Striga-infested and optimum environments. Using Diallel design IV, 300 crosses were generated from 21 inbred lines and 4 standard testers. The crosses, along with six checks, were evaluated in an 18 x 17 alpha lattice design with two replications at two locations, in both artificial Striga-infested and Striga-free environments. The inbred lines were genotyped using DArTtag SNP markers. Phenotypic and genotypic data were analyzed using R. Analysis of variance revealed significant mean squares for hybrid, general combining ability (GCA), specific combining ability (SCA) and their interactions with environment. Significant positive and negative GCA and SCA effects were detected for grain yield and other measured traits. However, a larger proportion of additive gene action than non-additive gene action was observed for grain yield and most measured traits. The analysis of molecular variance also showed substantial genetic differences within and between clusters. Except for HSCA, the mean grain yield between the inter-group and intra-group hybrids was significant for each method. Pairwise comparison of the inter- and intra-group hybrids of all the methods showed significant differences between the WHGCAMT and all other methods in most cases. WHGCAMT consistently produced higher-yielding inter-group hybrids and lower-yielding intra-group hybrids, achieving breeding efficiency improvements of 55.8%, 4.3%, 15.7%, and 11.4% over the HSCA, HSGCA, HGCAMT and molecular marker methods, respectively, under Striga infestation. Thus, WHGCAMT offers more precise, reliable and biologically meaningful heterotic groups among early-maturing maize inbred lines.

Genotype-by-environment interaction (GEI) has been studied to identify environment-stable/favorable genotypes. The GEI simulation could help refine the inference by incorporating tangible factors such as genomic and environmental information. The Bayesian additive main effect and multiplicative interaction (Bayesian AMMI) model captures the genotype-specific responses across environments, reflecting directional relationships between genotypes and environments. Thus, we propose a Bayesian AMMI-based GEI simulation framework that utilizes high-throughput environmental covariance matrices to generate GEI effects with interpretable directional structure. To demonstrate the proposed approach, two simulated phenotypes were assessed under four levels of GEI variance. In the first simulation (Sim1), GEI effects were sampled from a multivariate normal distribution defined by the GEI matrix. In the second simulation (Sim2), GEI effects were generated by extending Sim1 with the Bayesian AMMI model. In both simulations, increasing GEI variance resulted in lower correlations of phenotypes across environments and stronger genotype-specific sensitivity to environmental variation. Across five cross-validation designs, models accounting for GEI consistently outperformed one that did not, with prediction accuracy generally decreasing as GEI variance increased. Clear distinctions between the two simulated phenotypes were evident from biplot analyses: Sim2 successfully captured environmental relatedness and genotype-specific responses, whereas such structure was absent in Sim1. These results demonstrate that the proposed Bayesian AMMI-based GEI simulation framework enables interpretable visualization of GEI and supports genomic selection strategies under complex environmental conditions.